Saturday, January 16, 2010

The Golden Globes are tomorrrow... but let's talk about Oscars instead.

While the Golden Globes will be a nice early indicator for the Oscars... that'll be it. Gervais should be entertaining, but other than that... meh.

So let's just skip to the Oscars.

I'll do three things: post what I think will be nominated, guess who I want to win, then who I THINK will win... sometimes those choices might differ, sometimes not.

So here we go.

Best Picture:

An Education
District 9
The Hurt Locker
Inglourious Basterds
Star Trek
Up in the Air

Will win: The Hurt Locker
Should win: Inglourious Basterds

Is Inglourious Basterds my favorite movie of the year? Yes. But I won't mind if it loses to The Hurt Locker, which is my second favorite. Even if they both lose to Up in the Air, I'll still be happy. I just don't want Avatar or Precious to win. I liked Avatar, but let's face it... it's just one huge CGI-fest. Sure, it dramatically advanced CGi technology and should win awards for that. But, best MOVIE of the year? No thanks.

Best Actor:

Jeff Bridges, Crazy Heart
George Clooney, Up in the Air
Colin Firth, A Single Man
Morgan Freeman, Invictus
Jeremy Renner, The Hurt Locker

Will win: Jeff Bridges
Should win: Jeff Bridges

I haven't seen Crazy Heart. So I probably aren't qualified to speak for the movie. This is under the condition that Jeff Bridges did, in fact, give a great performance. Under that assumption, then yes, he deserves to win after such a great career. If not him, then Firth or Clooney will win it.

Best Actress

Sandra Bullock, The Blind Side
Helen Mirren, The Last Station
Carey Mulligan, An Education
Gabby Sidibe, Precious
Meryl Streep, Julie & Julia

Will win: Meryl Streep
Should win: Gabby Sidibe

People want Streep to win because she hasn't won it since the '80s. It'd be her third Oscar victory. But Sidibe gave a powerful performance and I can't imagine anyone beating that. But if it really is Streep's year, then no one will stop her.

Best Supporting Actor

Matt Damon, Invictus
Woody Harrelson, The Messenger
Christian McKay, Me and Orson Welles
Stanley Tucci, The Lovely Bones
Christoph Waltz, Inglourious Basterds

Will win: Waltz
Should win: Waltz

Waltz's performance is absolutely brilliant, if Basterds wins nothing else, let it be this.

Best Supporting Actress

Penelope Cruz, Nine
Vera Farmiga, Up in the Air
Anna Kendrick, Up in the Air
Mo'Nique, Precious
Julianne Moore, A Single Man

Will win: Mo'Nique
Should win: Mo'Nique

She will win it, she deserves it, remember when she was on Girlfriends on the WB? Now she could win an Oscar, that's insane.

Best Director

Kathryn Bigelow, Hurt Locker
James Cameron, Avatar
Clint Eastwood, Invictus
Jason Reitman, Up in the Air
Quentin Tarantino, Inglourious Basterds

Will win: Bigelow
Should win: Bigelow

Shot for shot, Hurt Locker is brilliant. Then again, so is UITA and Basterds. This is the strongest category out of them all so if it had to go to anybody, it best be Bigelow. First woman winning an Oscar would be historic and she really deserves it.

Best Original Screenplay

Mark Boal, The Hurt Locker
James Cameron, Avatar
Coen Bros, A Serious Man
Scott Neustadter, Michael H. Weber, 500 Days of Summer
Quentin Tarantino, Inglourious Basterds

Will win: Boal
Should win: Tarantino

This will probably go to Boal because the Hurt Locker is going to win a lot of major awards, especially best picture. But it should go to Inglourious Basterds just for how wonderfully original it is, considering it's a WWII film.

Best Adapted Screenplay

Jason Reitman, Sheldon Turner, Up in the Air
Geoffrey Fletcher, Precious
Roberto Orci & Alex Kurtzman; Star Trek
Neill Blomkamp, Terri Tatchell, District 9
Nick Hornby, An Education

Will win: Reitman
Should win: Reitman

This is one of the best adapted screenplays in a long time. Reitman turned the book "Up in the Air" completely into its own movie. It's his movie. The dialogue is sharp and witty and the story is brilliant. At the end, it leaves you with a lot to think about. If UITA wins anything, it's gotta be this.

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